Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Tivo wins lawsuit and soars

The talk of the markets yesterday was Tivo and the blockbuster ruling that a federal judge granted it for its patent infringement case against Echostar Communications.

"TiVo had sought $87 million in damages from the Dish satellite-TV network in a patent dispute that TiVo lawyers said could be "life or death" for the company that sold the first box for pausing and rewinding live television."

"TiVo claimed EchoStar violated its patent for a "multimedia time warping system" to pause, rewind or fast-forward live TV programs by recording them on a hard drive. EchoStar's own box "didn't work. It was a disaster," TiVo lawyer Sam Baxter said.

News of the verdict sent TiVo shares soaring nearly 20 percent, or $1.60, to $9.65 in late-session electronic trading. EchoStar shares dropped 27 cents. "

Interestingly part of TiVo's push yesterday was likely due to the Barron's article over the weekend that stated that TiVo could be a takeover candidate. This same article, however, said TiVo would have tough times ahead as a standalone company. I interpret Barrons' sentiment as a way of saying that any large increase in price is not based on TiVo's fundamentals but rather takeover speculation. How many traders have gotten burned on buying on rumor mill talk? Buy the rumor, sell the fact. Now might be as good a time as any to get out of TiVo.

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